
What will happen at Trump's 2pm press conference? Add answers!
Manifold TV link: https://manifold.markets/tv/91
If I miss any during the press conference please comment!
@traders Thank you so much for making this one of Manifold's best markets ever! This was awesome. I never expected it to have almost 300 answers.
Please check out the just-launched @ManifoldChallenge , a game show where you can win almost Ṁ40,000. https://manifold.markets/ManifoldChallenge/introducing-the-manifold-challenge
The announcement (to move US Space Command from Colorado to Alabama) is an interesting decision. The current base (Peterson Space Force Base) is actually in a Republican congressional district. And it's Republican representatives (including Lauren Boebert) who were most fighting for it to stay in Colorado, the Democratic representatives were less pressed about it.
So while the optics seem D vs R, it's really more Republican infighting
@realDonaldTrump It's pretty clear that Manifold didn't hate what was said, they just picked hate as a more apt descriptor than love. During the announcement both this option and the LOVE option were trading at well under 50%, which implies that nobody expected the poll to be LOVE versus HATE. If you were to run a poll of "did you HATE what was said during Trump's recent announcement" that would be a much more accurate poll to what is implied here, and I'm pretty sure that poll would resolve NO given that people overwhelmingly say they don't care (see https://manifold.markets/Marnix/do-you-really-care-about-what-trump)
@CollinMatthews The poll right now would be closer to "Manifold has a [negative/positive] opinion of the announcement" which is completely different than the stated option; I for one neither loved nor hated what was said
@traders Thank you so much for making this one of Manifold's best markets ever! This was awesome. I never expected it to have almost 300 answers.
Please check out the just-launched @ManifoldChallenge , a game show where you can win almost Ṁ40,000. https://manifold.markets/ManifoldChallenge/introducing-the-manifold-challenge
The announcement (to move US Space Command from Colorado to Alabama) is an interesting decision. The current base (Peterson Space Force Base) is actually in a Republican congressional district. And it's Republican representatives (including Lauren Boebert) who were most fighting for it to stay in Colorado, the Democratic representatives were less pressed about it.
So while the optics seem D vs R, it's really more Republican infighting
@realDonaldTrump I helped him resolve, but he did 200% more work. He was instant, unstoppable, and dedicated!
Here's a poll to resolve this. It closes in 1 day. https://manifold.markets/Marnix/do-you-really-care-about-what-trump
@Houston2025 I tried to place a 6000 bet to wrap this up
I guess the new market rules don't work the way I thought.