How many independent/3rd party politicians in next Senate?
14
6kṀ8468resolved Nov 3
ResolvedN/A
4%
0
6%
1
66%
2
13%
3
6%
4
5%
5 or more
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the number of members in the 120th United States Senate who are not in either the Democratic or Republican parties as of January 3, 2027. The count will include members who are officially registered as independents or belong to third parties. The official party affiliations will be verified using the official Congressional directory available at Congress.gov.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@JackP this was my second market and i made it when i didn't really know how to use manifold
i changed the market itself at the beginning and some people bet on the wrong proposition, I thought it would be better to play it save and na
People are also trading
Related questions
Yang's 2025 predictions: Will at least one member of Congress or the Senate declare him or herself to be an Independent?
10% chance
Who will be a USA congressperson on Jan 10 2027? Add Answers!
Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
4% chance
Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?
25% chance
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032
15% chance
At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
32% chance
Will a third party win a federal office in the US before the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will a third party candidate win the 2028 USA presidential election?
3% chance
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
6% chance