When will China's GDP surpass US GDP? | Manifold

When will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Basic

9

Ṁ1419

2070

2,052

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If China's GDP doesn't surpass US GDP before 2070, the market will resolve to 2070-2071.

Based on the World Bank data:

Here is a similar question in metaculus:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Nominal GDP right? What will you use to determine resolution, IMF? World Bank?

@TrippingYes, nominal GDP. Determined by the World Bank data, as the description said.

Add 500Ṁ subsidies to this market!

For real?

bought Ṁ0 2027-2028 YES

@Big0h It looks like you're trying to bet too much mana. This is the case if the market's subsidies are small.

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