Will Apple announce a non-trivial robot by 2030?
13
1kṀ3302030
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context
There have been a lot of rumors about Apple working on "personal robotic devices" including a "home robot" and "humanoid technology." The spirit of this market is to track if anything significant will come out of that
Minutia
Trivial
"Room assistant that could point a screen at you constantly"
Smart locks or button pushers
HomePod that nods or shakes
Non-Trivial
Robot vacuum or mop
Robot that moves around a la Amazon's Astro robot
Robot that can do home chores
I will accept requests for clarification while this market is new
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
🚘 Will Apple announce the launch of a car by 2030?
9% chance
Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
22% chance
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
51% chance
Will Apple release an Apple Ring before 2030?
52% chance
Will Apple announce something stupid in 2026?
73% chance
Will Apple announce a robotic lamp with the intention to release to consumers by EOY 2026?
6% chance
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?
96% chance
Apple Releases Humanoid Robot by 2040
35% chance
Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?
69% chance
Will Apple’s hand tracking technology from Vision Pro be used to train robots by 2028?
46% chance