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MANIFOLD
Will the Nevada Hawk Fire exceed 20,000 acres before reaching 90% containment?
0
Ṁ100
Aug 25
35%
chance

Resolves YES if the 2026 Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, is officially reported at 20,001 acres or more before it is first officially reported at 90% containment. Otherwise resolves NO.

Later acreage corrections count according to the corrected chronology. This concerns the Washoe County fire that began August 22, not the earlier El Dorado County fire with the same name.

Primary sources: the official incident management team, NIFC, or Washoe County. The market closes August 25 at 8:00 AM PT.

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