Arbitrage opportunities here, since my market has an “other” option for freak occurrences: https://manifold.markets/DionysusTheMad/which-party-will-win-the-2028-us-pr-E8CyqPtIAN

Bullish on Dems. I think they’ll learn their lesson and nominate someone voters are excited by, while Reps might be stuck with Vance. Beyond Trump himself their electoral results in the Trump era have not been that great

@Conflux Also bullish, especially if some of Trump's more radical economic policies really do happen and screw over the middle class, voters may reject the republican party in 2028.

This was always going to be a tough one for the Democrats to win. The pendulum will swing again.

OTHER - Santos / Menendez 2028 (Independent Unity Party)

Our bad! Too late I guess, Manifold doesn't allow to add other option :(