2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Question

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body. If no candidate is declared the winner, it will resolve to "No."

Request your candidate in comments.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Gavin Newsom, followed by Kamala Harris and Tucker Carlson are most likely. See the market for live updates (1,033 traders, as of Oct 23, 2026).