Yes if the Coinbase BTC-USD 1-minute candle low is ≤ $80,000 any time between (Jan 1, 2026 PT) through Dec 31, 2026 23:59 PT; otherwise No.
Source: Coinbase (BTC-USD).
Primary source (API):
https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spot
https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/historic?period=year
Resolution: Dec 31, 2026, 23:59 PT, or earlier upon trigger.
Update 2025-12-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if Bitcoin goes below $80K at any time between Jan 1, 2026 PT through Dec 31, 2026 23:59 PT (not from market creation date). Any price movements before Jan 1, 2026 do not count toward resolution.
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This is a stupid way of modelling this. But is says YES 😂
But the other stupid model says NO. At least not in January:
2026-01-29,87234.74
2026-01-30,87234.74
any time from market creation (Jan 1, 2026 00:00 PT) through Dec 31, 2026 23:59 PT; otherwise No.
Jan 1 hasn't happened yet, but market is already created. Was this intended as a placeholder for later? What happens if it hits this year?
And the close time is UTC not PT