Is AI risk associated with 2024 U.S. election candidates?

Many EAs are very worried about AI risk. Could different voting habits in the 2024 POTUS election be associated with this? Here is my attempt to help illuminate that.

Which cities give me a lower chance of dying in a catastrophe?

I remember when the Ukrainian war reached peak nuclear threat. And I remember some EAs were interested in fleeing their city, for safety. That inspired me to start a series. It is meant to supplement your decision of "which city should I live in?".

Is stimulant medicating ADHD worth doing long-term?

We need to know if stimulant medicating continues to "work" for ADHD. We don't have the types of studies that would confirm this. "If I am medicated, will it actually help me long-term"? This market is a narrow attempt to illuminate that.

Which crypto exchange could I use to reduce my chances of losing the money, to exchange fraud?

I can only assume this should be of great relevance to a lot of people, after FTX.

Manifold is fucking up again and won't let me search for the embedable market, so I'll post it later. Series can be found here.

Why "probably won't influence"? I've tried sending a crypto exchange whistleblower market to people, and these people didn't want to hear to hear about it. After FTX.

I think the most misleading objection is that Manifold markets need many traders to be accurate. No they don't, 5+ is already pretty calibrated.

An actually-good objection can be about the criteria. It's hard to think of unambiguous+relevant criteria, for complex decisions. But if someone gives me better criteria, I will be happy to add new markets.