Will 10% of Boston city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
10
150Ṁ7592035
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some examples of disasters:
-Nuclear strike
-Pandemic
-AI mishap
-Famine
-Tsunami
-Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
If a disaster affects Boston, Massachusetts, we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year. We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population. If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes. If disasters never kill 10%+ in a year, then we resolve No in 2035-Jan.
If there are multiple disasters then we would include them all, for the given year, and add their percents. We would include tourists, or whoever became part of the reported death toll.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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