Predict the outcome of men's tennis match play at events throughout the 2026 ATP season.
Each match that begins will resolve YES if the FIRST player listed advances to the next round, either by win or walkover. The match will resolve NO if the SECOND player listed advances (again either by win or walkover). A match will resolve N/A if it does not take place (that is, if a player withdraws before the match begins).
Example:
๐ช๐ธ C. Alcaraz (1) v. ๐ฎ๐น L. Nardi [Doha ATP 500 - Round 2]
Will resolve YES if Alcaraz, seeded first, advances by win or walkover. Will resolve NO if Nardi advances instead.
Won't always have these descriptions, but if they occur, here's what they mean:
(1) โ Seeded first (and so on)
(Q) โ Qualifier
(LL) โ Lucky Loser (lost in qualifying, but made the main draw by another player's withdrawal)
(WC) โ Wild Card (gained main draw entry at the discretion of the tournament director)
Will try to leave some limit orders up prior to the match start time for the day, but then will typically close betting until the matches are completed.
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@traders and then there was one! one match left for grass court season. will zverev improbably go from a no-slam winner to a two-time winner in the better part of a month? or will sinner march to his fifth major?
@traders not gonna lie, I am PSYCHED to see Dimitrov back in the round of 16 after last yearโs injury. Itโs a shame it had to come with Berrettiniโs loss. Round of 16 up!
@traders Wimbledon has officially begun! Sinner and Djokovic both survived a round 1 scare today. Got a smattering of round 1 and round 2 matches for tomorrow up on the market now. Happy trading!
@traders we're in the lull before Wimbledon, with the grass 500s completed and the draw scheduled to come out on Friday. if you'd like a bit of a preview though, i've got the players most likely to make the semifinals up. hope you'll check it out!
@polymathematic i am curious about this one...
since Jodar withdrew and was replaced with Giron at the last-minute... will you be resolving this as N/A? Or will you resolve this to Buse since he was able to battle past Giron?
i've never been so happy to lose a bet. congrats sasha, a long overdue title after so many painful finishes in previous finals
@traders well, friday's semis ended on an underwhelming note as arnaldi had to withdraw due to a virus. but cobolli v zverev should be a good one! vegas has zverev as a pretty strong favorite, and he has played like it since sinner went out. will his mental falters catch up with him? or did he just have the misfortune of playing against better players in his past finals, and as the better player he'll cruise to victory on sunday? i'll leave the market open for live trading on sunday!
@traders the first semi is set! zverev continues to bulldoze his way through the draw. he'll face mensik in the first of friday's semifinals.
@traders What an upset! Sinner was 75% to win the entire tournament, up 5-1 in the third, and just completely collapsed in the heat. Either Djokovic wins his 25th slam now, or we have a new first time slam winner. Round 3 matches up now.
@traders rome round 2 matches up now with some limit orders. can anyone stop Sinner from taking his sixth consecutive masters win?
@traders planning to have Rome round 1 matches up once qualifiers are done. in the meantime, if you'd like to predict the winner, you can see my market here: https://manifold.markets/polymathematic/who-will-win-the-2026-internazional
@traders took a little break, but back up with madrid matches now. round 3 and on through the final. happy trading!
@ChristopherRandles experimenting with having Claude set up the matches. Got some bugs to work out :)
@traders miami is shaping up to be an interesting tournament! with alcaraz's loss this afternoon, the top half of the draw is wide open. will we see an all-american semifinal between fritz and paul? tomorrow's matches up now with limit orders!
@polymathematic not just alcaraz but a lot of other upsets as well...shelton, de minaur, bublik are gone, and on the womens side swiatek and paolini are already gone ๐ญ
@traders oh, and if you want to trade directly on the winner of indian wells, i've got a market for that here: https://manifold.markets/polymathematic/who-will-win-the-2026-bnp-paribas-o
@traders Indian Wells is here! The entire field is back in action. Round 1 matches up now with some limit orders.