Predict the outcome of men's tennis match play at events throughout the 2026 ATP season.
Each match that begins will resolve YES if the FIRST player listed advances to the next round, either by win or walkover. The match will resolve NO if the SECOND player listed advances (again either by win or walkover). A match will resolve N/A if it does not take place (that is, if a player withdraws before the match begins).
Example:
๐ช๐ธ C. Alcaraz (1) v. ๐ฎ๐น L. Nardi [Doha ATP 500 - Round 2]
Will resolve YES if Alcaraz, seeded first, advances by win or walkover. Will resolve NO if Nardi advances instead.
Won't always have these descriptions, but if they occur, here's what they mean:
(1) โ Seeded first (and so on)
(Q) โ Qualifier
(LL) โ Lucky Loser (lost in qualifying, but made the main draw by another player's withdrawal)
(WC) โ Wild Card (gained main draw entry at the discretion of the tournament director)
Will try to leave some limit orders up prior to the match start time for the day, but then will typically close betting until the matches are completed.
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@NealeGoldingay There were US open matches added to this market about a month ago. New matches are added when there are tournaments.
"U.S. Open tk (tip jar)" is specifically to keep this open so more matches can be added at later dates. So it shouldn't be resolved. I wonder if editing "tk" to something more explanatory like 'keep open for adding future matches' might help explain.
Just sell your holding it won't resolve.
@traders and then there were 16! Round 4 is live. A few small to medium surprises so far, but Alcaraz and Zverev are both still alive. Zverevโs path to the final in particular is wide open. You can predict semifinalists on this market
@traders the last major of the year has begun! several round 1 matches up now.
@traders and then there was one! one match left for grass court season. will zverev improbably go from a no-slam winner to a two-time winner in the better part of a month? or will sinner march to his fifth major?
@traders not gonna lie, I am PSYCHED to see Dimitrov back in the round of 16 after last yearโs injury. Itโs a shame it had to come with Berrettiniโs loss. Round of 16 up!
@traders Wimbledon has officially begun! Sinner and Djokovic both survived a round 1 scare today. Got a smattering of round 1 and round 2 matches for tomorrow up on the market now. Happy trading!
@traders we're in the lull before Wimbledon, with the grass 500s completed and the draw scheduled to come out on Friday. if you'd like a bit of a preview though, i've got the players most likely to make the semifinals up. hope you'll check it out!
@polymathematic i am curious about this one...
since Jodar withdrew and was replaced with Giron at the last-minute... will you be resolving this as N/A? Or will you resolve this to Buse since he was able to battle past Giron?
i've never been so happy to lose a bet. congrats sasha, a long overdue title after so many painful finishes in previous finals
@traders well, friday's semis ended on an underwhelming note as arnaldi had to withdraw due to a virus. but cobolli v zverev should be a good one! vegas has zverev as a pretty strong favorite, and he has played like it since sinner went out. will his mental falters catch up with him? or did he just have the misfortune of playing against better players in his past finals, and as the better player he'll cruise to victory on sunday? i'll leave the market open for live trading on sunday!