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MANIFOLD
Which men's tennis players will reach the 2026 Wimbledon Semifinals?
7
แน€1.6kแน€2.4k
Jul 10
71%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น J. Sinner
41%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev
35%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic
27%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Shelton
21%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Fritz
21%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev
19%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. De Minaur
13%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ F. Auger Aliassime
15%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ F. Tiafoe
10%
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ A. Bublik
10%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ J. Lehecka
9%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Paul
9%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils
8%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ A. Rublev
7%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo
65%
Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)

Resolution criteria

  • Each of the listed players resolves YES if that player appears as one of the four semifinalists in the 2026 Wimbledon Menโ€™s Singles main draw; players resolve NO otherwise. Verification: the official Wimbledon menโ€™s singles draw/results page or PDF and/or the ATP tournament page. Links:

  • + https://www.wimbledon.com/
    + https://www.atptour.com/en/tournaments/wimbledon/540/overview

  • โ€œOther (Any Player Not Listed Above)โ€ resolves YES if at least one of the four semifinalists is not among the named answers; resolves NO if all four semifinalists are from the listed options. For clarity's sake, those listed players are:

    • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น J. Sinner

      ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Shelton

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Fritz

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev

      ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. De Minaur

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ F. Auger Aliassime

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ F. Tiafoe

      ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ A. Bublik

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ J. Lehecka

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Paul

      ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ A. Rublev

      ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo

  • Edge cases: for any players that do not appear in the main draw (withdrawing prior to the tournament for any reason), those players will resolve N/A. If a player plays at least one point in a main draw match, however, and THEN has to retire due to injury before the semifinals, that player will resolve NO. If a player retires during the semifinal matches, that makes no difference to this market. As market creator, I reserve the right to N/A if there is some sort of unforeseen extraordinary circumstance.

Background

Event dates: June 29โ€“Jul 12, 2026. Men's semifinals are scheduled for Fri, Jul 10.

Considerations

  • Only the Menโ€™s Singles main draw counts for the purpose of this market (not doubles, mixed, or juniors).

Market context
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