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MANIFOLD
Which men's tennis players will reach the 2026 U.S. Open Semifinals?
2
แน€1.7kแน€2k
Sep 11
51%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ C. Alcaraz
49%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev
31%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic
23%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev
21%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Fritz
20%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils
18%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. De Minaur
17%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ F. Auger Aliassime
16%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ J. Mensik
14%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ F. Tiafoe
14%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ R. Jodar
13%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น F. Cobolli
12%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ L. Tien
11%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Shelton
8%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo
8%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Nakashima
55%
Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)

Resolution criteria

  • Each of the listed players resolves YES if that player appears as one of the four semifinalists in the 2026 U.S. Open Menโ€™s Singles main draw; players resolve NO otherwise. Verification: the official U.S. Open menโ€™s singles draw/results page or PDF and/or the ATP tournament page. Links:

  • + https://www.usopen.org/index.html
    + https://www.atptour.com/en/tournaments/us-open/560/overview

  • โ€œOther (Any Player Not Listed Above)โ€ resolves YES if at least one of the four semifinalists is not among the named answers; resolves NO if all four semifinalists are from the listed options. For clarity's sake, those listed players are:

    • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ C. Alcaraz

      ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Fritz

      ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils

      ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. De Minaur

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ F. Auger Aliassime

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ J. Mensik

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ F. Tiafoe

      ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ R. Jodar

      ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น F. Cobolli

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ L. Tien

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Shelton

      ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ B. Nakashima

  • Edge cases: for any players that do not appear in the main draw (withdrawing prior to the tournament for any reason), those players will resolve N/A. If a player plays at least one point in a main draw match, however, and THEN has to retire due to injury before the semifinals, that player will resolve NO. If a player retires during the semifinal matches, that makes no difference to this market. As market creator, I reserve the right to N/A if there is some sort of unforeseen extraordinary circumstance.

Background

Event dates: August 30 โ€“ September 13, 2026. Men's semifinals are scheduled for Fri, Sep 11.

Considerations

  • Only the Menโ€™s Singles main draw counts for the purpose of this market (not doubles, mixed, or juniors).

Market context
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