All pairs both in the next government (after the 2026 danish election) or both not in the government resolve to YES. All pairs with one party in and one party out resolve as NO.
If a party does not win any seats it's corresponding pairs resolve as N/A.
For the purposes of this market confidence and supply agreements count as being in the government.
Clarification: What polymarket counts as "in the government" (here) + any parties listed on wikipedia as being governing parties or in a confidence and supply agreement with thereof (here) will count here as "in the government".
If no government is formed before 2028 all pairs resolve N/A.
Parties:
Social Democrats (wiki)
social democracy
center left, in last government, current prime minister
Venstre (wiki)
conservative liberalism, Nordic agrarianism
center right, in last government
Moderates (wiki)
liberalism
center to center right, in last government
Green Left (wiki)
democratic socialism, green politics, popular socialism
center left to left wing
Liberal Alliance (wiki)
classical liberalism, right-libertarianism
center right to right wing
Conservative People's Party (wiki)
conservatism, liberal conservatism, social conservatism
center right
Social Liberal Party (wiki)
social liberalism, pro-Europeanism
center to center left
Current parliament composition:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Folketing
Election results:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Danish_general_election#2025_2
Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the Danish election (not Dutch), despite the description mentioning "dutch election".
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"For the purposes of this market confidence and supply agreements count as being in the government."
I would like to though outside of that I didn't originally include supporting parties outside of a formal confidence and supply agreement in the rules so not sure what would be the best way to resolve in this case. If I were to how should I include supporting parties in a way that does not leave a lot of grey area? Whatever parties Wikipedia lists as supporting?
Any advice for how to resolve that matches the spirit of this question? Should I sell all my shares to be more impartial?
@PhillipThode This market will resolve to whatever parties Polymarket counts as in the next danish government (https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-denmark) in addition to any parties listed on the parliament wiki page as being part of confidence and supply agreement here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_supply#List_of_governments_currently_under_a_confidence-and-supply_agreement
@spiderduckpig not sure if you read the rules correctly but along with resolving yes when both parties are in government these markets also resolve yes if both parties are in the opposition as well.
these only resolve no when one of the parties is but the other isn't