Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Plus
4
Ṁ2152030
27%
OpenAI
13%
Anthropic
22%
Google
10%
Meta
8%
xAI
9%
Mistral
11%
Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.
This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
28% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2030?
47% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
16% chance
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will we get AGI before 2031?
60% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
42% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
69% chance