Will resolve to YES if there’s a commercially available product in customers’ hands in significant numbers by end of 2025.

Just has to do some useful household labor, not all the examples I listed. It has to be something that nontrivially uses the humanoid form though—for example, a plastic human-shaped shell atop a roomba wouldn’t count.

If e.g. the robot comes out in China first but the US blocks it with tariffs/import sanctions, that still resolves as YES (I could hypothetically fly to China and buy one).

Other edge cases will resolve according to the spirit of the question.

• Update 2025-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that the following activities, on their own, would not be considered sufficient 'useful household labor' for a YES resolution:

  • Running around with kids

  • Carrying groceries