Will Rep.-elect George Santos be charged with a crime by the end of 2024?
Basic
23
Ṁ5845
resolved May 10
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve YES if George Santos is charged with any crime (felony or misdemeanor), as determined through official government sources or other reliable sources, anywhere in the United States by December 31, 2024. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.

Background: After being elected to the US House of Representatives, George Santos has publicly stated that he fabricated elements of his education and work experience. He now faces an investigation by Nassau County district attorney Anne Donnelly; see https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/28/nyregion/george-santos-long-island-investigation.html.

Clarification 1/2/2023: Charges originating outside the United States (e.g. charges brought in Brazil) will not affect the resolution of this market as the market description applied to charges from "anywhere in the United States". The following market relates to the Brazil charges:

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Ṁ1,000
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predicted NO

Update: The New York Times reports that: "Federal prosecutors in Brooklyn have opened an investigation into Mr. Santos that is focused at least in part on his financial dealings, according to a person familiar with the matter. The investigation was said to be in its early stages." https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/28/nyregion/george-santos-long-island-investigation.html

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