Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the option that best describes the political state of the United States as of June 9, 2031. The resolution will be based on reputable sources such as reports from The Economist Democracy Index, V-Dem Institute, and other recognized political analysis organizations. The selected option will be the one that most closely aligns with the majority consensus among these sources regarding the U.S. political system at that time.

Background

The United States has experienced significant political shifts in recent years. The Economist Democracy Index downgraded the U.S. from a "full democracy" to a "flawed democracy" in 2021, citing issues like government functioning and political culture. (en.wikipedia.org) Additionally, initiatives like Project 2025, proposed by The Heritage Foundation, aim to reshape the federal government by consolidating executive power, raising concerns about potential authoritarian tendencies. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

Traders should consider the evolving political landscape, including upcoming elections, legislative changes, and shifts in public opinion. The potential for increased polarization, demographic changes, and the influence of populist movements may also impact the trajectory of the U.S. political system over the next six years.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the option that best describes the political state of the United States as of June 9, 2031. The resolution will be based on reputable sources such as reports from The Economist Democracy Index, V-Dem Institute, and other recognized political analysis organizations. The selected option will be the one that most closely aligns with the majority consensus among these sources regarding the U.S. political system at that time.

Background

The United States has experienced significant political shifts in recent years. The Economist Democracy Index downgraded the U.S. from a "full democracy" to a "flawed democracy" in 2021, citing issues like government functioning and political culture. (euractiv.com) Additionally, initiatives like Project 2025, proposed by The Heritage Foundation, aim to reshape the federal government by consolidating executive power, raising concerns about potential authoritarian tendencies. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

Traders should consider the evolving political landscape, including upcoming elections, legislative changes, and shifts in public opinion. The potential for increased polarization, demographic changes, and the influence of populist movements may also impact the trajectory of the U.S. political system over the next six years.