Conditional on a warrant, will Netanyahu visit at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction within 6 months?
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If the ICC doesn't issue a warrant against Netanyahu before the end of 2024, this question resolves to N/A.

If it does issue a warrant, this will resolve to Yes if Netanyahu visits at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction within 6 months of the warrant being issued. He must visit said nation over land, not just fly over it. The warrant must be active during the visit - so if the ICC formally cancels the warrant and Netanyahu then travels to France, this won’t resolve to Yes.

Definition of “recognize jurisdiction”: the country in question must have signed and ratified the ICC statute, Such countries are highlighted green in the map below. Countries that officially withdraw from the ICC statute before Netanyahu’s visit will not count.

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Why on earth would he?

@RemNi as a statement of power?

@nsokolsky but which country would he go to and feel confident about that choice? I'm guessing South Africa is off the table

By recognize ICC jurisdiction you mean also countries that signed but didn't ratify the Rome statues (e.g the U.S)?

@Magyk US is not included because they didn’t ratify the statute. Criteria updated.

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