Google model beats Anthropic on LMArena by EOY26
13
Ṁ100Ṁ226Dec 31
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A Google model beats Anthropic best model on LMArena (text, overall, style control on) at some point before 1st Jan 2027 Pacific Time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?
31% chance
Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY?
50% chance
Which months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?
2% chance
Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2027?
83% chance
Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
34% chance
Will OpenAI overtake Anthropic in Valuation before 2028
74% chance
An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26
86% chance
Will OpenAI ever top the LMArena leaderboard again before 2030?
87% chance