A new open weights reasoning model w/ <= 13B parameters will be released before Jan 1st 2025
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100Ṁ137resolved Dec 31
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This market predicts whether a new open weights AI reasoning model with 13B or fewer parameters, comparable in performance to QwQ and o1-mini, will be released before January 1st, 2025.
Resolution criteria: Official announcement or release of the model by an AI company, with published parameter count and open weights.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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