will i be late to pay a loan before 2026?
will i be late to pay a loan before 2026?
3
1kṀ1001Dec 31
20%
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i will not bet on this market (past the initial transaction which I already made).
i will use this market's description as a loan ledger.
Active loans
Received
2025-06-16: @Joshua 10k loan at 0% (no interest) due 2025-07-16.
Past loans
Received
2025-05-17: @Joshua 10k loan at 5% due 2025-06-17. payed back 2025-06-15.
2025-04-30: @Bayesian 10k loan with extra conditions. paid back 2025-05-01.
Given
2025-04-30: @bananaLtsnh 2k at 0% due 2025-05-14. paid back on 2025-05-02. (extra terms applied).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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