
Will Tumbles repay 503 mana on time? [Resolves N/A except for default]
2
70Ṁ1000resolved Jan 24
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a trial of a manifold-backed short term loan system, using Manifold to guarantee loans. This mechanism is similar to this market, except the amount of the loan is not tied up into the bet, since the market is immediately resolved N/A. Nobody loses mana as a result, and the market creation cost is refunded to me.
@Tumbles owes 503 mana to me, due January 24, 11:59:00 PM, Pacific Time. As insurance for default, @nikki agrees to collect a payout of 1000 or more mana, using this market, if Tumbles is late to repay the loan.
If Tumbles pays off the loan, this stays resolves N/A.
If Tumbles is late, by 1 second or more, this re-resolves NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
84% chance
Will Tumbles provide blood to Robin for mana before August?
35% chance
The Total Bag - What will Tumbles owe when he first is late to pay back a loan?
How will Tumbles avoid being late to repay any loans? (before 2027)
What will be true of Manifold's "loan" to Tumbles?
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan, and will he be more than one year late to pay back a loan?
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan before 2026, and if so, when?
Tumbles debt value? (%)
72% chance
Is Tumbles Great?
POLL
During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?