Will a whale place a bet on Manifold by 2030?
9
170Ṁ5582031
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be a real aquatic whale or dolphin. The whale must make a human-understandable decision upon seeing, hearing, or sensing the market as input.
The whale must provably understand and acknowledge the market, so no random waiting and guessing. Any form of working human-whale translation is permitted for input and output.
The bet must be automatically placed after correctly processing the whale output, without human intervention.
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-i-talk-with-a-whale-by-2027
https://manifold.markets/EricBolton/within-a-year-of-when-we-talk-to-wh
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a (real) whale ever join manifold?
14% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
26% chance
Will Manifold Markets add betting with USD by 2035?
69% chance
Will I talk with a whale by 2027? 🐳
17% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
59% chance
Will Manifold IPO by 2030?
17% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
20% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
93% chance
Will a silly Manifold market wipe out humanity before 2030?
1% chance