Will I have a real conversation with the massive marine mammal that both I and it can understand? A human big-money trader on Manifold does not count!
The most likely way for this to happen if people successfully decode the whale language with llms.
Related questions
Maybe they'll just learn to speak? 🤔
Interactive bioacoustic playback as a tool for detecting and exploring nonhuman intelligence: “conversing” with an Alaskan humpback whale https://peerj.com/articles/16349/
Does it have to be a biological whale?
Are there limitations on how long the translation process takes?
Would you accept it if it's possible in-principle?
Does the whale have to understand you?
What if whale talk can be converted to human talk but human talk to whale talk is a compression of a very high dimensional space to a very low dimensional space such that most significant data is lost or very hard to recover?
@firstuserhere yes, yes, no, yes
whale email does not count as talking. idk what the minimum bits/sec should be. i am open to suggestions
it has to understand me at least a little. like a human toddler. i’d be happy to talk with an extremely limited words set
This is such a cool market. I am less ambitious on the timeline but I’m so glad that other people want this 🥲
More whale hopes and dreams: /Gen/will-ai-or-humans-decode-and-transl
INFO: Are you in a position to actually have a conversation with a whale (through a career or life circumstance) if such a translator actually existed? Basically, am I betting on simply whether or not the translator exists, or am I betting on that and whether or not you can locate a whale friend to have a conversation with?
@ChrisMills I am in no particular position to talk to whales at the moment.
I am not particularly qualified to be part of a "first contact" team. I do not know much about marine biology or linguistics.
I am in general very excited about technology and would probably do it if given the chance!
New market with slightly longer timeline: https://manifold.markets/AdamK/meaningful-twoway-conversation-betw
I think having lots of whale audio is a bottleneck that's hard to get around.
Maybe we can finetune giant models on whale clicks? https://arxiv.org/abs/2102.01293
Would help w sample efficiency and probably w aligned representations
@NoaNabeshima It might be tricky to get a praire dog call autoencoder to break them down into the right symbols. Similar things might slow down dolphin vocalization autoencoder progress?