MANIFOLD
Will the majority of 18-29 year old voters vote for the Democratic presidential candidate?
56
Ṁ1.1kṀ4.5k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if the majority of 18-29 year olds vote for the Democratic presidential candidate.

NO otherwise.

See also: https://manifold.markets/nic_kup/what-percentage-of-1829-year-old-vo

Market context
US Politics
Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ48
2Ṁ36
3Ṁ33
4Ṁ30
5Ṁ23
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 NO

If only a minority of 18-29 year olds vote, but they all vote Democrat, does this resolve NO?

It will resolve YES as long as the majority of people who actually voted voted democratic.

People are also trading

Will the Democratic nominee of the 2028 presidential election be under the age of 50?
27% chance
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Will the democratic party win the 2032 U.S. presidential election?
51% chance
Will the college educated White vote swing toward the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 relative to 2024?
24% chance
How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Will the winner of the 2028 presidential election be under the age of 50?
27% chance
Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
Will a Democrat win the 2036 presidential election?
50% chance
Who will be the next Democratic president?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy