
Conditional on Donald Trump getting elected in 2024, will he pardon more than 5 Jan 6 rioters by the end of 2025?
18
Ṁ1kṀ3kresolved Jan 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
CONDITIONAL ON Donald Trump getting elected:
Resolves YES if >= five (5) rioters from the Jan. 6th attach on the Capitol are pardoned by Trump.
Otherwise, Resolves NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ143 | |
| 2 | Ṁ107 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ60 | |
| 5 | Ṁ55 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
40% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
24% chance
If elected in 2024 will Trump issue more than 50 years in total in January 6th related pardons?
99% chance
At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026
57% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
73% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
Will Trump pardon tiger king by the end of 2026?
24% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will Joe Exotic be pardoned?
42% chance
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2026?
8% chance