This market will resolve to YES if, before the end of 2035, any new settlements are authorized by the Israeli government and listed in the List of Israeli Settlements Wikipedia page. Previously existing Israeli outposts that are legalized before the end of 2035 will count as settlements.
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On May 29, 2025, the government approved establishing 22 new settlements in the West Bank. According to Reuters and detailed mapping by Peace Now, this package includes 12 outposts to be legalized as official settlements, 9 entirely new settlements, and 1 community upgraded to independent status; Israel’s Defense Ministry confirmed the decision, though the full text remained classified. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-announces-new-west-bank-settlements-despite-sanctions-threat-2025-05-29/
@Samaritan Thanks for letting me know, I’ll resolve now. Sorry for leaving this open after your first comments, I was off Manifold for a while. Feel free to ping @mods to have them resolve if the creator is inactive like I was
@Arky It's already happened after the creation of this market: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/4/israel-approves-three-settlement-outposts-thousands-of-homes-in-west-bank
"Israel’s government has approved 5,295 new housing units in a host of illegal settlements across the occupied West Bank, as well as recognising three new settlement outposts in the Palestinian territory"