Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
147
900Ṁ75k2026
21%
Hong Wang
21%
Jacob Tsimerman
20%
John Pardon
20%
Alexander Efimov
7%
Yu Deng
5%
Sam Raskin
2%
1.2%
Jack Thorne
1%
Vesselin Dimitrov
Every person who wins resolves to 25% (assuming it's 4 people who split it equally, in general we split it).
It's very silly to bet people over 25%. In principle the Fields Medal could be awarded to fewer than four people but that's unlikely.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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