Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
139
900Ṁ73k2026
24%
Jacob Tsimerman
21%
Hong Wang
17%
Alexander Efimov
13%
John Pardon
10%
Vesselin Dimitrov
7%
Yu Deng
4%
Sam Raskin
1.8%
1.7%
Jack Thorne
Every person who wins resolves to 25% (assuming it's 4 people who split it equally, in general we split it).
It's very silly to bet people over 25%. In principle the Fields Medal could be awarded to fewer than four people but that's unlikely.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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