Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
17
410Ṁ3969
2030
31%
Other
21%
Will Sawin
9%
Ewain Gwynne
8%
Amol Aggarwal
8%
Jeremy Hahn
7%
Alex Smith
5%
Alexander Dunn
4%
Ruixiang Zhang
2%
Marcelo Campos
1.1%
Hong Wang
1%
Dor Minzer
1%
Mehtaab Sawhney

Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

@Pepe Strong researcher, but I feel that Hong winning isn't good for his chances.

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