Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
14
335Ṁ29822030
25%
Will Sawin
23%
19%
Alex Smith
17%
Ewain Gwynne
5%
Amol Aggarwal
4%
Jeremy Hahn
2%
Dor Minzer
1.4%
Marcelo Campos
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
Who will win the 2034 Fields Medals?
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
1% chance
Which country or countries will be awarded the 2036 Summer Olympics
Who will win Ballon d'Or in 2030?
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Who Will Win an Individual Gold Medal at the 2028 Olympic Games?
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
What country will win the most medals at the Olympic Esports Games 2027?
Will a fully tropical country win a medal at the Winter Olympics before 2039?
53% chance