Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
24
410Ṁ8196
2030
25%
Other
20%
Will Sawin
12%
Amol Aggarwal
9%
Alex Smith
8%
Jeremy Hahn
8%
Ewain Gwynne
4%
Ruixiang Zhang
4%
Alexander Dunn
3%
Dor Minzer
1.7%
Hong Wang
1.3%
Cristiana De Filippis

Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

@Pepe Strong researcher, but I feel that Hong winning isn't good for his chances.

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