Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
41
Ṁ485Ṁ11k2030
37%
25%
Will Sawin
25%
Amol Aggarwal
9%
Tom hutchcroft
1.5%
Mehtaab Sawhney
1.5%
Marcelo Campos
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@AmanMarkar https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Hutchcroft Got his Bachelor's in 2013. If he was 22 then then indeed he's 39 in 2030 so he is eligible.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2034 Fields Medals?
When (if ever) will the Fields Medal cease to exist?
2047
Will four humans receive the Fields Medal in 2030?
88% chance
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
1% chance
Will a Fields Medal be awarded to a human mathematician by the end of 2030?
92% chance
Who will win Gold in the Men's 100 metres at the 2032 Summer Olympics?
Will Z win the 2026 Fields Medal?
1% chance
Will Jared Duker Lichtman earn a Fields Medal before 2034?
5% chance
Who Will Win an Individual Gold Medal at the 2028 Olympic Games?
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?