Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
6
310Ṁ16182030
27%
25%
Will Sawin
17%
Alex Smith
8%
Jeremy Hahn
7%
Dor Minzer
5%
Ewain Gwynne
4%
Amol Aggarwal
3%
Hong Wang
1.2%
Marcelo Campos
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.
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