Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
35
Ṁ485Ṁ9.1k2030
40%
11%
Antoine Song
10%
Will Sawin
6%
Tom hutchcroft
5%
Marcelo Campos
5%
Cristiana De Filippis
3%
Jeremy Hahn
3%
Ewain Gwynne
3%
Alex Smith
3%
Amol Aggarwal
2%
Ruixiang Zhang
2%
Alexander Dunn
1.6%
Dor Minzer
1.6%
Hong Wang
1%
Mehtaab Sawhney
Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.
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@AmanMarkar https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Hutchcroft Got his Bachelor's in 2013. If he was 22 then then indeed he's 39 in 2030 so he is eligible.
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