Will I consider posting questions on Manifold a good way to get answers to these questions by the end of 2023?

closes Dec 31

25%

chance

ALL

Feb 3, 4:47pm: ~~Will I consider posting questions on Manifold a good way to get answers to those questions by the end of 2023?~~ → Will I consider posting questions on Manifold a good way to get answers to these questions by the end of 2023?

Personal Goals

Manifold

New Year's Resolutions 2024

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Ian Philipsbought Ṁ10 of YES

What’s been your experience so far?

Mikhail Samin

@ian unfortunately, mana$ don't motivate people that much and the markets don't get engagement, subsidising them doesn't really help

Ian Philipsis predicting YES at 52%

@ms You can try taking out an ad, soon they'll will be incorporated into the feed as well!

Mikhail Samin

@ian taking out an ad?

Mikhail Samin

@ian oh, cool! Will do that

Mikhail Saminbought Ṁ10 of NO

@ian that didn't seem to work

Brian T. Edwards

@ms It’s tough for me to bring myself to bet on markets asking about how someone will change their beliefs because it’s too easy to game. I think if you create questions with an object that is more idk objective that would get the engagement to rise. You know what I mean?

Olivia Saber bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 25%

Kit Redgrave sold Ṁ14 NO from 23% to 24%

Kit Redgrave bought Ṁ15 NO at 23% 🎁

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ41/Ṁ100 NO at 23% (cancelled) 🤖

Odoacre bought Ṁ113 NO at 25% 🎁

42irrationalist bought Ṁ50 NO from 27% to 25%

Saul Munn bought Ṁ10 YES from 25% to 27%

Yoav bought Ṁ80 NO from 29% to 25%

Martin N.G. bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 29%

James bought Ṁ10 YES from 28% to 30%

Tyler bought Ṁ101 YES at 28% 🎁

na pewno sold Ṁ10 NO at 28%

Noa Nabeshima bought Ṁ100 NO from 34% to 28%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ16 YES from 37% to 34%

42irrationalist bought Ṁ100 NO from 46% to 37%

Hazepski bought Ṁ70 NO at 46% 🎁

Olivia Saber bought Ṁ10 YES from 45% to 46%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 38% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 54% 🤖

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 34% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 50% 🤖

Pat Scott🩴 bought Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 45%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 YES at 46% 🤖

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 YES from 45% to 46% 🤖

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 YES from 44% to 45% 🤖

firstuserhere bought Ṁ20 YES from 41% to 44%

rockenots bought Ṁ50 NO from 47% to 41%

Sinclair Chen bought Ṁ20 YES from 44% to 47%

Austin Thomas bought Ṁ3 YES at 44% 🎁

Schwabilismus sold Ṁ6 NO from 43% to 44%

na pewno bought Ṁ20 NO from 46% to 43%

Schwabilismus bought Ṁ6 NO from 47% to 46%

Mikhail Samin sold Ṁ11 NO from 45% to 47%

Trong bought Ṁ30 YES at 45% 🎁

evergreen sold Ṁ6 YES from 46% to 45%

Nuno Balbona bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 46%

Martin Randall bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 49%

Mikhail Samin bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 51%

evergreen bought Ṁ7 YES from 52% to 54%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 52% (cancelled)

Emilio Montejano Mora bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 51%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 54% (cancelled)

tailcalled bought Ṁ20 NO from 60% to 51%

Lars Doucet bought Ṁ10 YES from 56% to 60%

Ian Philips bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 56%

Birger sold Ṁ10 YES from 60% to 51%

Birger bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 60%

yaboi69 bought Ṁ1 YES from 50% to 51%

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