Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alex Bores is officially listed as a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in New York's 12th congressional district (NY-12) primary election in 2026. This will be determined by reviewing the certified candidate lists published by the New York State Board of Elections (NYSBOE) or the NYC Board of Elections.

The Democratic primary election for NY-12 is scheduled for June 23, 2026, with a filing deadline of April 2, 2026. If Alex Bores is not listed as a candidate on the official and certified primary election rolls for NY-12 by the relevant election authorities, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

Alex Bores is a Democratic politician currently serving as the Assemblymember for New York's 73rd State Assembly District, which includes parts of Manhattan's Upper East Side, Midtown East, and Turtle Bay. He was first elected to the State Assembly in November 2022 and assumed office on January 1, 2023. He was re-elected for his Assembly seat in November 2024.

New York's 12th congressional district (NY-12) is located entirely within New York City, encompassing Manhattan's Upper West Side, Upper East Side, and Midtown. The district is a Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+33. The incumbent U.S. Representative for NY-12 is Democrat Jerry Nadler.

Considerations

The Cook Political Report has indicated that Representative Jerry Nadler is expected to leave his NY-12 district after more than three decades in the House, which would make the 2026 election an open seat for the Democratic nomination. This could attract significant interest from potential candidates, including those currently holding other elected offices in New York City.