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MANIFOLD
Will Alex Bores run for Congress in 2028?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50
2028
31%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Alex Bores officially runs for the United States Congress (either the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate) in the 2028 election cycle (including any special election held in 2028).

To qualify as "running," Bores must meet at least one of the following criteria by December 31, 2028:

  1. File a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) for a 2028 congressional election.

  2. Officially qualify for and appear on a 2028 primary, general, or special election ballot for a U.S. Congressional seat, as verified by the New York State Board of Elections (Elections NY) or another relevant state election authority.

If Bores does not file FEC Form 2, does not appear on any 2028 congressional ballot, and does not otherwise officially launch a 2028 congressional campaign by December 31, 2028, this market will resolve to NO.

Background

Alex Bores is a Democratic member of the New York State Assembly representing District 73 (Manhattan's East Side). In June 2026, Bores ran in the competitive Democratic primary to succeed retiring U.S. Representative Jerry Nadler in New York's 12th Congressional District. He finished a close second to fellow Assemblymember Micah Lasher. Known for his background in data science and his focus on technology and AI regulation, observers are watching to see if Bores will make another bid for federal office during the 2028 election cycle.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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