If an international AI regulation body is created before 2025, is Yudkowsky invited to hold a position?
Basic
9
Ṁ237Dec 31
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to Yes if before 2025, there's an organization focused on AI governance or alignment, backed by at least two countries, and Yudkowsky is invited to hold some formal position there
Resolves to N/A if no international body governing AI with the UK participating exists before 2025 or it's impossible to determine whether the Yes condition is met.
Resolves to No otherwise.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?
27% chance
If an international AI regulation body is created before 2025, does Yudkowsky hold a position there?
10% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?
19% chance
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
50% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance
Which well-known scientist will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a long recorded conversation with about AI risk, before 2026?
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
73% chance
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
66% chance
Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?
15% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?
5% chance