Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?

Basic

Ṁ207

2027

13%

Arjun Erigaisi

10%

Fabiano Caruana

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

Gukesh D

Alireza Firouzja

Ian Nepomniachtchi

Hikaru Nakamura

Praggnanandhaa R

Other

Magnus Carlsen

Wei Yi

1.8%

Daniil Dubov

1.8%

Wang Hao

1.6%

Vincent Keymer

1.6%

Ding Liren

1.6%

Vladislav Artemiev

1.6%

Alexey Sarana

1.5%

M. Amin Tabatabaei

1.5%

N/A (e.g. tournament cancelled)

1.3%

Wesley So

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Chess

#Board Games

#2026 Chess World Championship

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