Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which of these chess openings will be played in the Candidates?
25
Ṁ775Ṁ7.8k
resolved Apr 16
Resolved
YES
Queen's Gambit Accepted (1.d4 d5 2.c4 dxc4)
Resolved
NO
Bongcloud (1.e4 e5 2.Ke2)
Resolved
NO
King's Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.f4)
Resolved
NO
Halloween Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Nc3 Nf6 4.Nxe5)
Resolved
NO
Sicilian Wing Gambit (1.e4 c5 2.b4)
Resolved
NO
Latvian Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 f5)
Resolved
NO
Elephant Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 d5)
Resolved
NO
Englund Gambit (1.d4 e5)
Resolved
NO
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit (1.d4 d5 2.e4 dxe4 3.Nc3)
Resolved
NO
Danish Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.d4 exd4 3.c3)
Resolved
NO
Stafford Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Nxe5 Nc6)
Resolved
NO
Rousseau Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 f5)
Resolved
NO
Evans Gambit (1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 Bc5 4.b4)
Resolved
NO
Tennison Gambit (1.Nf3 d5 2.e4)
Resolved
NO
Grob (1.g4)
Resolved
NO
Sodium Attack (1.Na3)
Resolved
NO
Clemenz Opening (1.h3)
Resolved
NO
St. George Defense (1.e4 a6)
Resolved
NO
Ware Opening (1.a4)
Resolved
NO
Fred Defense (1.e4 f5)

The market refers to the 2026 Candidates tournament, occuring between March 28 and April 16, to decide the challenger to the world chess championship. Which of these openings will be played in the tournament? Please write a comment below if you have any suggestions.

I will use my best judgement to resolve in case there is any ambiguity. In general, transpositions count towards an opening, e.g. 1. d4 e6 2. Nc3 d5 3. e4 will count as a French Defense (Paulsen variation) even though it uses an unconventional move order with 1.d4.

I am only considering openings played in the open section.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ335
2Ṁ221
3Ṁ79
4Ṁ15
5Ṁ12
Sort by:

@mr_mino Candidates is over, none of the other opening were played.

Pretty surprising! I guess the top level chess meta has shifted a lot in the past 4 years. So much D4 and QGD.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 3% order

@mr_mino Queen's Gambit Accepted was played in R4 Sindarov vs. Caruana