How often will I study chess this month? June 2024 Edition
How often will I study chess this month? June 2024 Edition
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1kṀ4815resolved Jul 2
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Resolves to the % of dates on which I study chess for at least 150 minutes this month, rounded to the nearest integer.
Chess study includes tactics, opening preparation and game study, but not online games.
My record of doing so before this month is below:
January, 90 min/day: 13/14 (92%)
February, 90 min/day: 22/29 (75%)
March, 90 mins/day: 28/31 (90%)
April, 120 mins/day: 30/30 (100%)
May 150 mins/day: 30/31 (97%)
Days missed so far, as of June 27:
June 8
June 9
June 12
June 13
June 14-27
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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