Binance founder Changpeng Zhao incarcerated before 2026
64
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2025
92%
chance

Resolves as YES if Binance's founder Changpeng Zhao (aka CZ) is arrested or imprisoned in any country before 2026.

Data for resolving this claim will come from either CZ's Twitter feed or a reputable news source.

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bought Ṁ1,443 of YES

Prosecutors argued Zhao should remain in the U.S. until the sentencing hearing, which is set for February, while Zhao’s attorneys argued he could return to the United Arab Emirates, where he currently resides. Tsuchida ultimately agreed that he could return to UAE, with the condition that he return to the U.S. at least 14 days before his sentencing hearing. The UAE does not have an extradition treaty with the U.S.

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/binance-founder-changpeng-zhao-agrees-to-step-down-plead-guilty/

@Eliza It is still not clear to me if he was at any point during this, "arrested" yet.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Looks like he made the same deal as Arthur Hayes who got two years probation.

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

Buying to 90.

bought Ṁ0 of NO

limit at 90, 85

predicts YES

Oh, I'd love to resolve this as YES...

https://www.ft.com/content/d10af983-1376-457f-9709-815e04ba59fb

But he's paying a fine and pleading guilty, which doesn't necessarily mean incarceration. I don't think he's been cuffed or thrown in a jail cell. Too bad.

It's a shame that he has received something that is, for him, like a speeding ticket. He deserves much worse.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

There's still YEARS to go for one little arrest!

bought Ṁ5 of YES

So if he is in the USA and pleading guilty, is he arrested at any point along the way?

bought Ṁ300 of YES

Will they make SBF and CZ bunk in the same cell? My guess is CZ gets the top bunk.

predicts YES

@patio11 ❤ ❤ ❤

bought Ṁ200 of YES

Do you have a link to the same story that isn't paywalled?

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Relevant: SEC's complaint against Binance:

https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/complaints/2023/comp-pr2023-101.pdf

If US authorities invaded a nuclear power (Pakistan) without permission to get Osama Bin Laden, then there's no place that's safe for CZ.

Good luck man.

predicts NO

Does this include incarceration while awaiting trial, as we all as imprisonment after conviction?

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

@DavidMathers Yes. Arrested or imprisoned. For example, if he’s driving in Singapore, pulled over, and then arrested on suspicion of DUI, then that counts, even if he doesn’t spend a minute in jail or prison.

Of course, I think the chance he gets convicted of crypto crimes and shares a cell in the Florence CO Supermax federal prison with Ted Kaczynski or SBF is very, very high.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

(They don’t know the cftc has no criminal authority whatsoever)

predicts YES

Sort of mind-blowing that this was sub-25% for six months and then it rocketed to 72% after the CFTC got interested.

The business model of crypto is breaking the law and recording the crimes on immutable ledgers. The people who commit these crimes do not have standing armies, nuclear weapons, or control of strategically important land or waterways. Yet they think they can mess with the currencies and capital controls set up by countries that have nuclear weapons and spy agencies.

In the long run, any cryptocurrency tycoon of note will be in prison -- if they're lucky.

Getting involved in crypto is insanely dumb.

bought Ṁ2 of NO

Changpeng Zhao, the Binance man,
Locked up in jail? That's not the plan.
He'll keep on trading, making dough,
No orange jumpsuit, just green to show.

bought Ṁ338 of NO

#FreeCz

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao incarcerated before 2026, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition