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MANIFOLD
Whose full self driving technology will I be able to order a robotaxi from first in Corvallis, Oregon?
21
Ṁ1kṀ16k
2035
37%
Telsa
31%
Waymo
7%
Comma.ai
25%
Other

As a proxy for who wins the self-driving race.

I must be able to order a ride between almost any two places in Corvallis, where the car shows up by itself and drives me to my destination with no human intervention. If a company supports Corvallis without supporting any other similarly small cities, I will be mad.

Market context
Elon musk
Tesla
Self-Driving Vehicles
Waymo
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Who will win the robotaxi race?

@nikki there has always only been one real player

compare to this market: https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/will-tesla-serve-more-fully-autonoma I think there's some chance that tesla wins my market but loses in terms of riders in 2025.

https://manifold.markets/RutgerDeMaeyer/in-what-year-will-teslas-robotaxi-b?r=UnV0Z2VyRGVNYWV5ZXI

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