Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if third-party credible sources report that the Crimean Bridge:

• has been made impassable to effectively all automobile traffic OR to effectively all rail traffic

• for any period of at least 168 hours ending before January 1, 2025

• via physical destruction, obstruction, or damage from any source.

For the purposes of this question, physical damage or obstruction of the immediate approaches to the bridge, such that it is effectively impassable to through traffic, is considered to "knock out" the bridge itself

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.