Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
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Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24. This question will resolve if/when a replacement bridge becomes operational. But it will close three years after the bridge collapse, on 3/26/27. I'm not betting in this market.
To make this clearer:
If the bridge is replaced before March 26, 2027, then the market will resolve as no. (As in, no, Marc Andreessen will not be right in predicting the bridge will never be replaced.)
If the bridge is not replaced before March 26, 2027, the market will resolve as yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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