[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?
Plus
31
Ṁ56072026
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves Yes if before January 1, 2026, Sam Altman has been indicted in the United States on any charge(s) alleging violation of state or federal law. The question resolves No if this does not occur.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2025?
7% chance
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony in the US by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
22% chance
Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?
8% chance
Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?
54% chance
Will Sam Altman give testimony to either chamber of Congress in 2024?
20% chance
Will Sam Altman be Time Person of the Year by 2028?
20% chance
Will Sam Altman's twitter alt be identified by 1 Jan 2025?
32% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried's father or mother be indicted by 2025?
13% chance