[Metaculus] Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?
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Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves as "Yes" if the BBC reports that the Labour Party has won a majority of seats in the House of Commons after the next UK general election that takes place after December 13, 2023. Otherwise, the question resolves as "No."

For the purpose of this question all MPs of the Labour and Co-operative Party are considered Labour MPs.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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