[Metaculus] Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
6
170Ṁ1772030
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes China meets its primary 2030 climate action goals of cutting emissions intensity by at least 60% below 2005 levels on or before January 1, 2030, according to expert analysis independent of the Chinese government
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2025?
38% chance
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2024?
2% chance
Will China meet or exceed its 5% GDP growth target this year? (according to The Economist data)
75% chance
Will China electricity sector CO2 emissions decrease in 2024?
11% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
34% chance
[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
50% chance
Will the Chinese median wage go over half of chinese GDP per capita by 2033? Currently ~33%
36% chance
Will the US halve its emissions by 2030?
25% chance
Will China have a higher Nominal GDP than the US by 2030?
19% chance
China will produce less CO2 emissions by 2035 than the US
21% chance