[Kalshi] Will Mar 2024 be the hottest Mar ever?
Basic
9
Ṁ3880
resolved Apr 14
Resolved
YES

Will Mar 2024 be the hottest Mar ever?

Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.


Resolution criteria

If Mar 2024 is the hottest March ever, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution sources

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Resolves YES: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series reports the anomaly as +1.35°C, 0.01°C warmer than the previous highest, March 2016.

@jskf

@rkpold I don't see data yet for March 2024:

And Kalshi is currently trading at 54%.

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