Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record”, globally?
13
3.2kṀ11k
Dec 31
16%
March
31%
April
34%
May
33%
June
28%
July
27%
August
15%
September
24%
October
28%
November
28%
December

Resolves according to NOAA Monthly Report (global), a tie will be resolved as 50%.

“Corresponding month” means that a January competes only with all previous Januaries, and July with all previous Julys.

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bought Ṁ1,274 NO

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202502

@McLovin February resolves NO

It was the fourth warmest February for the global land air temperature and the second warmest February for the global ocean surface temperature. Global temperatures have cooled in recent months as a La Niña episode, the cold phase of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) developed. Global temperatures tend to be cooler during periods of La Niña in comparison to periods with an El Niño present. According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's February 13 ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, La Niña conditions were present and are expected to persist in the near-term, with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance).

@copiumarc wrong copypaste oops

The global surface temperature was 1.26°C (2.27°F) above the 20th-century average of 12.1°C (53.8°F), making it the third warmest February on record. This is 0.15°C (0.27°F) below the previous record set in 2024 and marked the 46th-consecutive February (since 1980) with temperatures at least nominally above the 20th-century average.

bought Ṁ1,400 YES

@McLovin January resolves YES

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