
[ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
59
263
Ṁ2.4KṀ1K
Dec 21
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ1
Ṁ10
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ13 +34%
New probability
75%
Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, for the total period made up of the months of January 2024 through November 2024, inclusive, the sales share of light duty plug-in vehicles (PEVs) is greater than 11% in the United States according to data published by Argonne National Laboratory.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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