Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? [ACX 2024]
Premium
174
Ṁ230kresolved Jun 3
100%99.6%
Claudia Sheinbaum
0.4%
Xóchitl Gálvez
0.0%
Movimento Ciudadano's Candidate
0.0%Other
Mirror for this question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20692/2024-mexican-president/
Note that management of this question is currently not automated. Please ping @jskf if this should be updated or resolved, or to encourage him to work on multiple choice support for mirrorbot.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
news starting to call it, official results after midnight, can resolve soon
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2024-06-02/mexico-presidential-election
@Joshua Weird… I’d probably give her like 98% chance of winning
Consistently about 20% up in the polls, massively popular, no scandals… what’s gonna happen in 2 weeks?!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the candidate who wins Arizona win the 2024 POTUS election?
99% chance
What will be the outcome of the 2024 elections?
A more detailed Who will win the 2024 presidential election?
Texas Presidential Election 2024 -- Which Party Will Win?
Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2024?
62% chance
Who will win the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
Who will win the 2024 United States Presidential Election? (exotic options)
Which of the following candidate will be elected 2024?
Ṁ250 bounty
Who will win US Election 2024
POLL
Who will you vote for in 2024? (Presidential Election)
POLL