Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050? | Manifold

Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?

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35

Ṁ1893

2050

44%

chance

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1M

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https://europa.nasa.gov/

https://newatlas.com/space/carbon-europa-life-james-webb

NASA's Europa Clipper

Earth’s first mission to conduct detailed reconnaissance of Jupiter’s moon, Europa. NASA’s Europa Clipper will determine if this ocean world has environments suitable for life to exist.

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Could we get a stronger resolution criteria on "signs"?

predicts NO

@spider Sure. What are your thoughts on “the unambiguous detection of metabolic activity or biological structures that cannot be explained by abiotic processes”? I’m open to other ideas as well

@miles works for me. Unfortunately it also means the market is already close enough to my best estimate that I won't buy either way :)

Life or signs of life?

@ThrowingTofu Changed to “signs of past or present life”.

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