Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
Plus
21
Ṁ25862025
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.
If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.
If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.
If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
59% chance
What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?
Will Trump reduce the trade deficit at all in his first year?
64% chance
Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?
12% chance
Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year?
15% chance
What will happen within Donald Trump's first 100 days? [Add Answers]
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
20% chance
Trump signs executive order imposing 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada goods on January 20, 2025
15% chance
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada?
66% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
19% chance