Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
63
2kṀ39kresolved May 12
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.
If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.
If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.
If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ17,275 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,743 | |
| 3 | Ṁ338 | |
| 4 | Ṁ320 | |
| 5 | Ṁ180 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump reduce the trade deficit in his first year?
31% chance
When will the US tariffs on China first drop to ≤50% again for a month?
Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?
4% chance
US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2026?
Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?
46% chance
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
US tariff rate on Chinese goods at end of 2025?
38.9
What will be the highest effective US tariff rate on China by EOY 2025?
What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?
Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 6 months?
56% chance