Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?

63

2kṀ39k

resolved May 12

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.

This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.

If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.

If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.

If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.

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@mfow resolves yes

Given today's announcement, should this now resolve to yes?

@meanderingexile it should kick in on the 9th US-time. I am told by friends in China that they currently don't actually see the 104% yet even though they are obviously aware it's going to happen.

Does this resolve to yes if multiple installed tariffs get to 60%?

Why stop at 60%?

He has also said “100, 200, 2000% tariffs”

https://youtu.be/0v0el2_4yWw?si=FzGnt6ifUCoG4_mz

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People are also trading

Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?

Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 6 months?

Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?

When will the US tariffs on China first drop to ≤50% again for a month?

What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?

Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?

Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?

Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?

Related questions

Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?

Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 6 months?

Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?

When will the US tariffs on China first drop to ≤50% again for a month?

What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?

Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?

Will Trump substantially replace income taxes with tariffs?

Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?

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