Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
38
2kṀ21kDec 31
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.
If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.
If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.
If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
That is extremely remarkable news, the tax increase is too strong @Geometry Dash can also affect people's lives.
Why stop at 60%?
He has also said “100, 200, 2000% tariffs”
Related questions
Related questions
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
81% chance
Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year?
12% chance
Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 100 days?
74% chance
Trump announces 10+ new tariffs on April 2, 2025?
68% chance
Will Trump halve the trade deficit in his first year?
4% chance
Will Trump increase its tariffs on Canada to 50% or higher by June 30th?
5% chance
Will Trump reduce the trade deficit at all in his first year?
34% chance
What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports in the second half of 2025?
Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?
31% chance
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?